January 18, 2018
Redfin: 2017 Closed with Strong Home Price Growth, Up 7 Percent in December

- For the full year, 2017 home sales increased 1.7 percent over 2016, while prices gained 7.0 percent. The median 2017 sale price was $284,500.

- National home prices rose 6.8 percent in December as inventory declined 14.5 percent.

- Facing the Lowest Supply on Record, San Jose Had Higher Price Growth, More Competition and Faster Sales than Any Other Market in December.

SEATTLE, Jan. 18, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: RDFN) -- Home prices finished the year strong, up 6.8 percent in December from last year, according to Redfin (www.redfin.com), the next-generation real estate brokerage. The median sale price was $287,000 across the markets Redfin serves. Sales were down 2.4 percent ending a year of fluctuating sales growth. The number of homes for sale declined 14.5 percent compared to a year ago, marking 27 months in a row of inventory declines.The typical home that sold in December found a buyer after 49 days on the market, five days fewer than 2016.

"Like last year, low inventory will be the biggest driver of the 2018 real estate market," said Redfin chief economist Nela Richardson. "Major housing market dynamics don't shift dramatically when the clock strikes midnight on Jan. 1. We anticipate a continuation of the same trends we've been seeing for the past few years. Price growth will remain strong as many homeowners will remain deterred from selling due to the low mortgage rates they've locked in and the high price of their would-be move-up home."

The number of homes newly listed for sale in December decreased 3.0 percent. With just 2.6 months of supply in December, the market was far below the six months of supply that represents balance between buyers and sellers.


Market Summary

December 2018

Month-Over-Month

Year-Over-Year

Median sale price

$286,700

-1.3%

6.8%

Homes sold

218,700

-0.5%

-2.4%

New listings

147,100

-29.5%

-3.0%

All Homes for sale

568,000

-14.0%

-14.5%

Median days on market

49

3

-5

Months of supply

2.6

-0.4

-0.4

Sold above list

20.5%

-1.5%

0.5%

Median Off-Market Redfin Estimate

$250,600

0.7%

Average Sale-to-list

98.0%

-0.1%

0.2%

Facing Lowest Supply on Record, San Jose Prices Rose 31.9 Percent Year Over Year
San Jose had only 0.5 months of supply in December, the lowest monthly supply Redfin has recorded in any metro area. This means that if the pace of home sales continued and no new homes were listed, it would only take about two weeks for all the homes currently for sale to find buyers.  Seattle and Oakland also faced extremely tight markets with just 0.6 months of supply in December.

Unsurprisingly, San Jose was the fastest and most competitive market in December with the typical home finding a buyer in a median of 12 days, followed by Seattle and Oakland at 15 and 16 days respectively. More than three-quarters (76.2%) of San Jose homes sold above the list price. Of all the metro areas Redfin tracks, San Jose has had the steepest year-over-year price growth and inventory declines for three months in a row.

Redfin San Jose agent Kalena Masching says that despite the high prices (her market had a  median sale price of $1.1 million in December) San Jose remains more affordable than San Francisco.
"Even highly-paid tech workers are priced out of San Francisco and moving to San Jose. This demand coupled with low inventory and job growth at the tech campuses in the South Bay has caused prices to soar."

Other December Highlights

Competition

  • San Jose, CA was the fastest market for the third month in a row, with half of all homes pending sale in just 12 days, down from 39 days in December 2016. Seattle, WA and Oakland, CA were the next fastest markets at 15 and 16 median days on market, followed by Boston, MA (20) and San Francisco, CA (21).
  • San Jose, CA was again the most competitive market with 76.2% of homes selling above list price, followed by 68.8% in San Francisco, CA, 62.1% in Oakland, CA, 40.2% in Seattle, WA, and 38.8% in Los Angeles, CA.

Prices

  • San Jose, CA had the nation's highest price growth for the third month in a row, rising 31.9% since last year to $1,108,000. Las Vegas, NV had the second highest growth at 17.3% year-over-year price growth, followed by Baton Rouge, LA (15.3%), Seattle, WA (15%), and San Francisco, CA (14.7%).
  • 2 metros saw price declines in December: Albany, NY (-3.2%) and Camden, NJ (-0.7%).

Sales

  • 5 out of 73 metros saw sales surge by double digits from last year. Camden, NJ led the nation in year-over-year sales growth, up 21.3%, followed by Louisville, KY, up 14.5%. Orlando, FL rounded out the top three with sales up 14.2% from a year ago.
  • Cincinnati, OH saw the largest decline in sales since last year, falling 20.8%. Home sales in Portland, OR and Oxnard, CA both declined by 15.6%.

Inventory

  • San Jose, CA had the largest decrease in overall inventory for the third month in a row, falling 51.5% since last December. Oakland, CA (-36.4%), Seattle, WA (-34.0%), and Atlanta, GA (-33.1%) also saw far fewer homes available on the market than a year ago.
  • Baton Rouge, LA had the highest increase in the number of homes for sale, up 12.8% year over year, followed by New Orleans, LA (6.8%) and Austin, TX (5.2%).

To read the full report, complete with data and charts, please visit the following link:
https://www.redfin.com/blog/2018/01/market-tracker-december-2017.html.

About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than $50 billion in home sales.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, subscribe here. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

CONTACT: Redfin, Redfin Journalist Services, Alina Ptaszynski, 206-588-6863, press@redfin.com