Home prices typically decline from September to October, having fallen by an average of 1 percent between the two months over the previous eight years. This October however, prices increased nationally 2.4 percent month over month. Despite this national increase, just 32 of the 71 largest metro areas Redfin tracks saw home prices increase from September to October, which suggests that the monthly gain is due to the share of homes selling last month shifting slightly to more expensive areas rather than individual homes increasing in value.
However, evidence that the market is cooling down can be seen in price drops. In October, 31.3 percent of homes for sale had at least one price drop of more than 1 percent. This is the highest share of price drops on record since Redfin began tracking this metric in 2010, and 6.3 percentage points above last October's level of 25 percent. In
The number of homes for sale was up 1.3 percent from a year earlier, the highest level of inventory growth since
The number of homes newly listed in October rose 5.4 percent year over year, but the number of completed home sales continued to sink, dropping 5.7 percent from 2017. Home sales declined in 59 of the 71 largest metro areas that Redfin tracks.
Metro areas like
"An increase in interest rates effectively makes home-buying more expensive because buyers have to pay higher monthly mortgage payments even if the sticker price hasn't changed," said Redfin chief economist
Across Redfin metros, the typical home that sold in October went under contract in a median of 43 days, two days faster than last year. This October, 20.3 percent of homes sold above the list price, down from 22.9 percent last October. The share of homes that went under contract within two weeks also fell, from 23.6 percent last October to 21.3 percent this October.
"Another factor we're watching closely as we examine national housing market trends going into the end of the year is the devastation of the
To read the full report, complete with graphs, charts and market-level data, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/blog/2018/11/real-estate-market-tracker-october-2018.html.
To read Redfin's report on price drops in
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is the next-generation real estate brokerage, combining its own full-service agents with modern technology to redefine real estate in the consumer's favor. Founded by software engineers, Redfin has the country's #1 brokerage website and offers a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate, the automated home-value estimate with the industry's lowest published error rate for listed homes. Homebuyers and sellers enjoy a full-service, technology-powered experience from Redfin real estate agents, while saving thousands in commissions. Redfin serves more than 80 major metro areas across the U.S. The company has closed more than
For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the
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Redfin Journalist Services, Michaela Morales, 206-588-6863, email@example.com